Forward-only issuance
No backfilled live predictions. Each episode freezes its signal, horizon, model, evidence snapshot, benchmark, and assumptions at issuance.
Mave Signal · Live 12-month validation
Every company gets a clear signal.
Every signal is publicly tracked.
Forward-only company outlooks are frozen before their outcomes, scored against a benchmark, and retained whether they are correct or incorrect.
Timestamped signals Immutable forecasts Benchmark-relative scoring Public wins and losses
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Public prediction ledger
Every live signal
Live track record only. Historical backtests are not included in these metrics.
| Company | Issued | Signal | Horizon | Expected return | Confidence | Benchmark | Maturity | Company return | Benchmark return | Excess | Outcome | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Locked methodology
How live results are scored
Tradable entry
The entry is the first available regular-session adjusted opening price after issuance. After-hours information cannot use the previous close.
Benchmark-relative outcome
Bullish means outperforming the frozen benchmark by at least five percentage points; bearish means underperforming by at least five; results inside the band are neutral.
No repeated daily predictions
Unchanged daily reviews update freshness but do not create new evaluable episodes. Material changes and formal model renewals create new records.
Every prediction—including incorrect predictions—is public. Live results are never mixed with historical backtests or other forecast horizons. Model signals are general research, not personalized investment advice. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.